All Reports
3Q 2023

Refuse Collection Vehicles

Analysis of Vehicle Decarbonization Technologies for the Global Refuse Collection Vehicles Market, Forecasts: 2023-2032

Refuse collection vehicles (RCVs) occupy a small, but significant part of the global truck market. Improvements to sanitation and waste management have been a key part of societal development over the past few centuries and numerous economic studies have demonstrated a positive correlation between a robust waste management and sanitation policy and economic growth and well-being.

This report examines the global market for zero emissions RCV chassis over the next decade. In addition to offering forecasts for the overall RCV market, the report looks at the likely adoption rates for battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and vehicles powered by renewable natural gas (RNG). In addition, and mindful of the increasing importance of biofuels such as hydrogenated vegetable oil (HVO) in the overall decarbonization effort, the report provides forecasts for continued internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles for the report’s ten-year forecast period of 2023-2032.

 Guidehouse Insights’ analysis finds that the overall global RCV fleet will not likely increase much during the forecast period and the two key decarbonization technologies used in that fleet will likely diverge. While growth for BEV products in the European markets is expected to be marked, North America will likely retain a focus on RNG powered powertrains. China, which is likely to become the largest single market for RCVs over the forecast period, is expected to lag both Europe and North America in percentage adoption of both technologies. The same is likely for India, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East & Africa.

Pages 29
Tables | Charts | Figures 16
  • Are the mainstream trucking industry’s decarbonization strategies relevant to the waste management sector?
  • To what extent is decarbonization being driven by regulation in the waste management sector?
  • What impact does the waste management industry’s longer investment timeline and trading cycle have on market development?
  • Is BEV technology fit for purpose in the waste management sector?
  • What is the role of renewables in the waste management sector?
  • Industry suppliers
  • Equipment aggregators and OEMs
  • Regulators and legislators
  • City and municipal authorities
  • Investors

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Issues

2.1      Market Drivers

2.1.1     Regional Emissions Regulation

2.1.2     North America

2.1.3     Europe

2.1.4     Asia Pacific

2.1.5     Local and Municipal Regulation

2.1.6     Tendering Criteria

2.1.7     Sustainability and ESGD

2.2      Market Barriers

2.2.1     Trading Cycle

2.2.2     Fitness for Purpose

2.2.3     Stranded Assets and Sunk Costs

2.2.4     Vehicle Weight and Range

2.3      Pricing

3. Industry Value Chain

3.1      Competitive Landscape

3.1.1     Mergers and Acquisitions

3.1.2     Business Model Evolution

4. Market Forecasts

4.1      Scope

4.2      Methodology

4.3      Limitations

4.4      Key Assumptions

4.5      Forecasts

4.5.1     The Overall RCV Market

4.5.2     Battery Electric Refuse Collection Vehicles

4.5.3     Renewable Natural Gas Refuse Collection Vehicles

4.5.4     ICE Refuse Collection Vehicles

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

5.1      Three Big Takeaways

5.2      Recommendations

5.2.1     RCV Manufacturers

5.2.2     Regulators and Legislators

5.2.3     Suppliers

5.3      Conclusion

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • Refuse Collection Vehicles Sales, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Battery Electric Refuse Collection Vehicles Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Battery Electric Refuse Collection Vehicles % Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Renewable Natural Gas Refuse Collection Vehicles Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Renewable Natural Gas Refuse Collection Vehicles % Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • ICE Refuse Collection Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • ICE Refuse Collection Vehicles % Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Visual Representation of the Refuse Collection Vehicles Industry Value Chain
  • Regional Forecast Segments
  • Refuse Collection Chassis Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Battery Electric Refuse Collection Vehicles Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Renewable Natural Gas Refuse Collection Vehicles Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • ICE Refuse Collection Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Battery Electric Refuse Collection Vehicles % Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • Renewable Natural Gas Refuse Collection Vehicles % Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
  • ICE Refuse Collection Vehicles % Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2023-2032
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