1Q 2020

Market Data: EV Batteries

Lithium Ion and Other Advanced Batteries for Light Duty Passenger Vehicles and Medium and Heavy Duty Buses and Trucks: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

The EV battery (EVB) market is focused on the technology and applications of light duty (LD), medium duty (MD), and heavy duty (HD) EVs. Battery systems may use several technologies, with chemistries demonstrating varied benefits and drawbacks. Some of the more popular Lithium ion (Li-ion) technologies continue to be prominent in the market due to their cost-effectiveness and reliability. Others, such as solid state batteries, are still in their infancy and are not yet practical for commercialization but show promise in the new decade.

Challenges to the market include cost and technology limitations, which remain priority concerns for consumers and automakers. However, as EV adoption rate and manufacturing capacity increase, new innovations are emerging that are expected to drive the EVB technology market in the coming years. Advances include declining battery costs, improved safety measures for advanced battery technologies, new vehicle-to-grid (V2G) applications, and an increased focus on sustainable and responsible mineral sourcing. In this report, the EVB market is discussed primarily in the context of automotive applications, but second-life applications are also included, as they are relevant to the supply chain of EVBs and influence the production process.

This Guidehouse Insights report includes forecasts for LD passenger EVs, MD and HD trucks, and MD and HD buses. Drivetrains included in this report cover battery EVs (BEVs), plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs), and traditional hybrid EVs (HEVs). Forecast figures include regional segmentation of the world market. The topics examined include market trends, drivers, and barriers of the EVB market; second-life applications; and market forecasts, which extend through 2030.

Pages 29
Tables | Charts | Figures 30
  • What are the key market drivers and challenges related to the adoption of EVs (including battery EVs, plug-in hybrid EVs, and hybrid EVs)?
  • How will the cost per kilowatt-hour for Li-ion batteries change in the next several years?
  • What chemistries are available in the EV battery market?
  • Which vehicle segment offers the best opportunities for battery manufacturers?
  • What are the forecasts for battery capacity and revenue for automotive advanced batteries through 2030?
  • Vehicle manufacturers
  • Vehicle fleet managers
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Battery OEMs
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Introduction

1.2   Research Scope

1.3   Market Forecasts

2. Data Assumptions

2.1   Vehicle Classes

2.1.1   LD Powertrains

2.1.2   Electric Trucks

2.1.3   Electric Buses

2.2   Advanced EVB Technology

2.3   Market Trends

2.3.1   Market Drivers

2.3.1.1   Declining Costs

2.3.1.2   Improved Safety  

2.3.1.3   Durability and Vehicle-to-Grid Applications

2.3.1.4   New Techniques to Improve Mineral Sourcing and Extraction

2.3.2   Market Challenges

2.3.2.1   Short Battery Cycle Life and Degradation

2.3.2.2   Concerns About Acquiring Battery Minerals

2.3.2.3   High Cost of Batteries

2.3.3   Second-Life Applications for EVBs

3. Market Forecasts

3.1   Forecast Methodology and Assumptions

3.2   Battery Pack Pricing

3.3   Capacity and Revenue Trends

3.4   Technology Breakdown

3.5   Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • LDV Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • BEV Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Type: 2020-2030
  • Total LD Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total LD Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Proportion of Total LD EVB Capacity by Powertrain: 2020
  • Proportion of Total LD EVB Capacity by Powertrain: 2030
  • Total LD EV Global Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Powertrain: 2020-2030
  • Total Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Vehicle Type: 2020-2030
  • Example of an Electric Truck by BYD
  • Example of an Electric Bus
  • Energy Storage Technology Comparison for EVs: 2020
  • Adoption of Li-Ion Battery Chemistry by Battery Vendor and Vehicle OEM
  • LDV Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Bus Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Truck Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • LDV BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • LDV BEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • LDV PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • LDV PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • LDV HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • LDV HEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total LD Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total LD Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Truck BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Truck BEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Truck PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Truck PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Truck HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Truck HEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total MD and HD Truck Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total MD and HD Truck Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Bus BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD Bus BEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD Bus PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD Bus PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD Bus HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • MD and HD Bus HEV Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total MD and HD Bus Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total MD and HD Bus Duty Advanced Battery Energy Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
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