4Q 2022

Building-to-Grid

Forecasts of Grid-Interactive Buildings Engaged in Demand Response, Solar Power Generation, and Battery Energy Storage: 2022-2031

Digitalization and technological advances have transformed the ways that buildings interact with the electric grid. In the past, buildings simply consumed energy and grid operators adjusted supply to meet energy demand. Today, the proliferation of distributed energy resources (DER), such as onsite solar PV, battery storage, and grid-connected appliances (e.g., thermostats and water heaters), allow buildings to have two way interactions with the grid. With these technologies, building owners have greater control and flexibility over their energy generation and consumption and are incentivized to provide benefits to the grid, like shedding or shifting loads during periods of supply constraint. 

Several market conditions are driving increased building-to-grid (B2G) integration, including grid modernization and decarbonization goals, the rise of the energy prosumer, technological advances that have made enabling hardware and software readily available, and supportive policies and regulations. Nonetheless, this market faces several challenges, including uneven technology maturity and adoption, relatively low consumer awareness and acceptance, incumbent energy business models and policies, and concerns about equipment interoperability and cybersecurity.

This Guidehouse Insights report analyzes the global building stock interacting with the electrical grid through participation in demand flexibility, solar power generation, and battery energy storage. Market drivers and barriers are discussed in relation to the motivations of diverse stakeholders, including building owners, utilities, regulators, and equipment vendors. Global market forecasts of the number of grid-interactive buildings, segmented by building group (commercial, institutional, and residential) and global region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of World), extend through 2031.

Pages 44
Tables | Charts | Figures 37
  • How can a variety of stakeholders, ranging from building owners to utilities, benefit from B2G integration?
  • What challenges are slowing the proliferation of B2G integration?
  • Which building types are most likely to adopt different B2G technologies?
  • How is the number of grid-integrated buildings expected to grow in different global regions over the next decade?
  • How can utilities, building designers, equipment manufacturers, and regulators support increased B2G integration?
  • Grid-interactive building equipment vendors
  • Utilities
  • Energy regulators
  • Grid-interactive buildings service providers
  • Renewable energy nonprofit organizations and industry associations

1. Executive Summary

1.1      Overview

1.2      Market Drivers

1.3      Market Barriers

1.4      Market Outlook

2. Market Issues

2.1      Introduction

2.1.1     Demand Response

2.1.2     Distributed Electricity Generation

2.1.3     Distributed Energy Storage

2.2      Market Drivers

2.2.1     Grid Modernization and Decarbonization

2.2.2     Age of the Prosumer

2.2.3     Proliferation of Enabling Technologies

2.2.4     Emergence of Transactive Energy

2.2.5     Policies and Regulations

2.3      Market Barriers

2.3.1     Technology Maturity and Adoption

2.3.2     Customer Awareness and Acceptance

2.3.3     Incumbent Energy Business Models and Policies

2.3.4     Interoperability and Cybersecurity

3. Market Forecasts

3.1      Methodology

3.2      Demand Response Forecast

3.3      Solar Power Generation Forecast

3.4      Battery Energy Storage Forecast

3.5      Regional Market Forecasts

3.5.1     North America

3.5.2     Europe

3.5.3     Asia Pacific

3.5.4     Rest of World

4. Conclusions and Recommendations

4.1      Utilities

4.2      Equipment Manufacturers

4.3      Building Designers and Owners

4.4      Governments and Regulators

5. Building Types

5.1    Office

5.2    Retail

5.3    Education

5.4    Healthcare

5.5    Hotels and Restaurants

5.6    Institutional/Assembly

5.7    Warehouse

5.8    Transport

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • Grid-Interactive Buildings by Technology, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Buildings* Participating in DR by Region, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Buildings Generating Grid-Interactive Solar Power by Region, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Buildings with Grid-Interactive Battery Energy Storage by Region, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, North America: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, North America: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, North America: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, Europe: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, Europe: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, Europe: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, Rest of World: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, Rest of World: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, Rest of World: 2022-2031
  • Grid Modernization
  • Grid-Interactive Buildings by Technology, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Buildings* Participating in DR by Region, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Buildings Generating Grid-Interactive Solar Power by Region, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Buildings with Grid-Interactive Battery Energy Storage by Region, World Markets: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, North America: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, North America: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, North America: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, Europe: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, Europe: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, Europe: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Commercial Buildings by Technology, Rest of World: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Institutional Buildings by Technology, Rest of World: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings by Technology, Rest of World: 2022-2031
  • Grid-Sited Building-to-Grid Technologies
  • Building-Sited Building-to-Grid Technologies
  • Building-to-Grid Policy Examples
  • Sources of Total Curtailment/Capacity Estimates Used to Generate Building-to-Grid Forecasts 
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