3Q 2024

Commercial Building Electrification

Electric HVAC, Water Heating, and Cooking Appliances: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts, 2024-2033

Demand for commercial building electrification has been growing over the past decade as organizations aim to reduce their carbon footprint and become more energy efficient. By electrifying systems such as HVAC, water heating, and cooking, building owners and organizations have been able to achieve benefits such as increased energy efficiency, reduced carbon emissions, and safer buildings. In addition, the increased availability of renewable energy has made building electrification more desirable. Servicing fully electrified buildings with renewable energy can allow building and business owners to claim that their buildings generate zero emissions.

Commercial building electrification has accelerated in recent years due to the need to increase energy efficiency, improve sustainability, and comply with regulations, as well as available incentives and the desire for energy resilience. However, market growth is limited by high product and installation costs, the complexity of new technologies, and the need to pair building electrification with renewable energy sources to fully realize the benefits of electrification.

This Guidehouse Insights report provides a comprehensive analysis of the commercial building electrification market, covering the trends, drivers, and barriers that have shaped its evolution in recent years. Additionally, it presents a 10-year forecast, offering insights into the future trajectory of the market across five global regions (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, Middle East & Africa), four technology segments (heat pumps, electric chillers, electric water heaters, electric cooking appliances), two construction types (new construction, retrofit), and eight commercial building types (office, retail, education, healthcare, hotels and restaurants, institutional/assembly, warehouse, transport).

Pages 29
Tables | Charts | Figures 49
  • What forces are driving demand for commercial building electrification?
  • What is the estimated market size for heat pumps, electric chillers, electric water heaters, and electric cooking appliances in commercial buildings?
  • How does projected revenue growth for building electrification technologies differ across global regions?
  • Which commercial building electrification technologies are expected to experience the most revenue growth over the next decade?
  • What actions can industry stakeholders take to help grow this market?
  • Commercial HVAC manufacturers
  • Energy service companies
  • Commercial cooking appliance manufacturers
  • Renewable energy providers
  • Commercial water heater manufacturers

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Market Overview

1.2   Market Drivers

1.3   Market Barriers

1.4   Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1   Definition

2.2   Trends

2.2.1   Skilled Labor Shortage in Facilities Management

2.2.2   Pairing Electrification with Renewable Energy

2.2.3   Fossil Fuel Prices and Supply

2.2.4   Grid Load Concerns

2.3   Drivers

2.3.1   Legislative Obligations and Building Codes

2.3.2   Electrification Incentives and Rebates

2.3.3   Sustainability Commitments

2.3.4   Energy Resilience

2.3.5   Cooking Equipment Safety and Health Benefits

2.4   Barriers

2.4.1   High Cost of Technologies

2.4.2   Legislation Backlash and Pushback

2.4.3   Infrastructure Limitations

2.4.4   Customer Awareness and Education

2.4.5   Lack of Coordination among Key Stakeholders

3. Industry Value Chain

3.1   Value Chain and Market Stakeholders

3.1.1   M&A Activities

4. Market Forecasts

4.1   Scope

4.2   Segments

4.3   Methodology

4.4   Global Overview

4.4.1   Electrification Technologies

4.4.2   Building Types

4.4.3   Construction Types

4.5   Regional Forecasts

4.5.1   North America

4.5.2   Europe

4.5.3   Asia Pacific

4.5.4   Latin America

4.5.5   Middle East & Africa

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

5.1   Three Big Takeaways

5.2   Recommendations

5.2.1   Commercial Building Electrification Manufacturers

5.2.2   Building and Business Owners 

5.2.3   Energy Efficiency Advocates and Policymakers

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7.  Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes


  • Commercial Building Electrification Value Chain
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Construction Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, North America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Construction Type and Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, North America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Building Type, North America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Construction Type and Technology, North America: 2024-2033
  • Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, North America: 2024-2033
  • Electric Chiller Revenue by Building Type, North America: 2024-2033
  • Electric Water Heater Revenue by Building Type, North America: 2024-2033
  • Electric Cooking Appliance Revenue by Building Type, North America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Building Type, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Construction Type and Technology, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Electric Chiller Revenue by Building Type, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Electric Water Heater Revenue by Building Type, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Electric Cooking Appliance Revenue by Building Type, Europe: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Construction Type and Technology, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Electric Chiller Revenue by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Electric Water Heater Revenue by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Electric Cooking Appliance Revenue by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Building Type, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Construction Type and Technology, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Electric Chiller Revenue by Building Type, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Electric Water Heater Revenue by Building Type, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Electric Cooking Appliance Revenue by Building Type, Latin America: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Building Type, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
  • Commercial Building Electrification Revenue by Construction Type and Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
  • Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
  • Electric Chiller Revenue by Building Type, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
  • Electric Water Heater Revenue by Building Type, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
  • Electric Cooking Appliance Revenue by Building Type, Middle East & Africa: 2024-2033
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