- What is the market size for electric trucks and electric buses?
- What are the supporting charging infrastructure technologies?
- Who are the e-HCV suppliers in emerging vehicle segments?
- What is driving interest and growth prospects for e-HCV technologies?
- What are the critical challenges to market growth and how is the e-HCV industry overcoming them?
- How is the market for e-HCVs likely to grow over the next 10 years?
1Q 2021
Market Data: Electric Trucks and Buses
Global Forecasts for Electric Trucks, Buses, and Supporting Charging Infrastructure in Heavy Commercial Vehicle Markets
Significant growth lies ahead for electric HCVs (e-HCVs) in China, particularly with e-trucks, but the larger question is how quickly the rest of the world is going to catch up. In that regard, the next 10 years are likely to be dramatic. Public transit fleets worldwide are implementing the transition toward electricity at a rapid pace, and major parcel delivery services have made huge orders for purpose-built e-HCVs. Electric rigid trucks and day cab tractors are being introduced by established truck, and high capacity charging technology standards to enable electric long-haul trucking are nearing debut.
These developments follow mounting pressure from governments and corporate customers demanding that manufacturers and fleets provide zero emissions solutions. Emissions and energy efficiency regulations in two-thirds of the global HCV market are pressing manufacturers to make more energy efficient vehicles, making e-HCVs more attractive. Additionally, corporate climate action planning is looking into the supply chain for emissions savings, resulting in fleet emissions characteristics becoming a criterion for competitive assessment. The Science Based Targets initiative has logged nearly 1,000 corporate commitments—a sign of this trend.
This Guidehouse
Insights report provides an assessment of the global markets for e-HCVs and
supporting charging infrastructure, including technologies, market drivers and
barriers, and the extent by which the market is likely to grow over the next
decade. Forecast vehicle technologies in this report include battery electric
trucks and buses with gross vehicle weight ratings over 3.5 tons (T) segmented
by major vehicle types as follows: vans, rigid trucks, tractors, transit and
coach buses, and shuttles. Charging infrastructure technologies include all
charge points deployed to specifically support e-HCVs. Forecasts on these
technologies are provided from 2020-2030 by major global region.
Pages
49
Tables | Charts | Figures
52
Key Questions Addressed
Who Needs This Report
- Vehicle OEMs
- Infrastructure equipment OEMs
- Infrastructure developers
- Fleet managers
- Government agencies
- Investor community
Table Of Contents
1. Executive Summary
1.1 Introduction 1
1.2 Market Outlook
2. Market Issues
2.1 Electric Trucks and Buses
2.1.1 Applications
2.1.1.1 Goods Delivery Vehicles
2.1.1.2 Passenger Vehicles
2.1.1.3 Vocational Vehicles
2.1.2 Market Drivers
2.1.2.1 Regional Regulations
2.1.2.1.1 North America
2.1.2.1.2 Europe
2.1.2.1.3 Asia Pacific
2.1.2.2 Local Stakeholders
2.1.2.2.1 Early Adopters
2.1.2.2.2 Funding
2.1.2.2.3 Regulations
2.1.2.3 Corporate Climate Action Plans
2.1.3 Market Challenges
2.1.3.1 Capital
2.1.3.2 Range
2.1.3.3 Charging Infrastructure
2.1.3.3.1 ChaoJi
2.1.3.3.2 MCS
3. Market Forecasts
3.1 Scope
3.2 Methodology
3.3 Limitations
3.4 Key Assumptions
3.5 Results
3.5.1 The Overall HCV Market
3.5.2 Plug-In Hybrid HCVs
3.5.3 E-Trucks
3.5.4 E-Buses
3.5.5 Infrastructure
3.5.5.1 Fleet Depot Charge Points
3.5.5.2 Bus Stop Charge Points
3.5.5.3 High Capacity Charge Points
3.5.6 Revenue
4. Conclusions and Recommendations
5. Acronym and Abbreviation List
6. Table of Contents
7. Table of Charts and Figures
8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes
List of Charts and Figures
- E-HCV Technology Revenue by Segment, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- HCV Sales by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- HCV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- Plug-In Hybrid Share of New HCV Sales, World Markets: 2015-2020
- E-Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2020
- E-Truck Sales by Truck Type, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- E-Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- E-Bus Sales Outside of China by Region, World Markets: 2015-2020
- E-Bus Sales by Bus Type, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- E-Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- New Fleet Depot Charge Points by Region, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- New Bus Stop Charge Points by Region, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- New High Capacity Charge Points by Region, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- E-HCV Technology Deployment Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020, 2025, 2030
- E-HCV Technology Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2020, 2025 2030
- Electric Goods Delivery Vehicle Types (Left to Right: Step Van, Box Truck, Semitruck)
- Conventional Tractor Body Type Examples (Left to Right: Day Cab, Sleeper Cab)
- Electric Passenger Vehicle Types (Left to Right: Transit, School, Coach, Shuttle)
- Electric Refuse Trucks
- Example DC Charging Site Architecture with Centralized Rectification
- ChaoJi Coupler
- Regional Forecast Segmentations
List of Tables
- HCV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Goods Delivery Van Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Rigid Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Tractor Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Transit and Coach Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Shuttle Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- E-Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2020
- E-Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2020
- E-HCV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Electric Goods Delivery Van Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Electric Rigid Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Electric Semitruck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Electric Transit and Coach Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Electric Shuttle Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- New E-HCV Charge Points by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- New High Capacity Charge Points by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- New Bus Stop Charge Points by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- New Fleet Depot Charge Points by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- E-HCV Technology Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- E-Truck Sales Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- E-Bus Sales Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- New Fleet Depot Charge Point Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- New Bus Stop Charge Point Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- New High Capacity Charge Point Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
- Electric Delivery Truck Investments from International Parcel Distributors
- Automaker Electric Tractor Deployments
- Electric School Buses and Manufacturers
- Current and Upcoming Electric Coaches
- Electric Shuttle Buses and Manufacturers
- Electric Power Sector Commitments to Fleet Electrification by 2030
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